Good randomized sequential probability forecasting is always possible

Vovk, V. and Shafer, G.

(2005)

Vovk, V. and Shafer, G. (2005) Good randomized sequential probability forecasting is always possible. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B – Statistical Methodology, 67 (5).

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Abstract

Building on the game theoretic framework for probability, we show that it is possible, using randomization, to make sequential probability forecasts that will pass any given battery of statistical tests. This result, an easy consequence of von Neumann's minimax theorem, simplifies and generalizes work by earlier researchers.

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This is a Published version
This version's date is: 2005
This item is not peer reviewed

Link to this Version

https://repository.royalholloway.ac.uk/items/eaad9d05-80ee-6b98-d6f8-79b9d4f7a62b/1/

Item TypeJournal Article
TitleGood randomized sequential probability forecasting is always possible
AuthorsVovk, V.
Shafer, G.
Uncontrolled Keywordsrandomization, probability, sequential probability forecasts, von Neumann's minimax theorem
DepartmentsFaculty of Science\Computer Science

Identifiers

doi10.1111/j.1467-9868.2005.00525.x

Deposited by () on 23-Dec-2009 in Royal Holloway Research Online.Last modified on 23-Dec-2009


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